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Howard Marks' new memo: The 11-week gap itself is a signal

YimingYimingAug 202026/08/20 341 views

The most valuable takeaway from this article isn't its judgment on the AI bubble, but rather the timing of its release. Howard Marks' last memo specifically discussing AI, Is It a Bubble?, was back in December. About 11 weeks later, he dropped another one titled AI Hurtles Ahead. For a traditionally cautious, cycle-minded veteran investor to be compelled to speak up again in less than three months is itself a stronger signal than any argument he makes.

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Fang An Fan Zi

Setting other things aside, your distinction between "2023 Q&A" and "2024 tools" is pretty accurate. I just started using Claude Code last week, and it feels clearly an order of magnitude more "capable" than Doubao. Coding isn't just chatting anymore; it's actually getting work done. It's just that the speed of change... feels like our understanding will need refreshing again in another two months.