Physix Frontier · News Briefing Card (enbrief · Nov 7, 2026)

Study: Open-source AI models near closed-source frontier in cyberattacks

KEY FACTS

  • Vals tested multiple AI models' cyberattack capabilities against a simulated corporate network.
  • OpenAI's closed-source Daybreak model completed 81% of tasks on average, while DeepSeek completed 73%.
  • On some tasks, DeepSeek and Daybreak scored the same.
  • DeepSeek's token cost to execute attacks was $2 to $3, versus $17 to $46 for GPT-6-Sol.
  • Vals said closed-source models no longer hold an absolute advantage in cyber skills.

KEY DATA

81%Daybreak task completion rate
73%DeepSeek task completion rate
$2-3DeepSeek attack token cost
$17-46GPT-6-Sol attack token cost

PHYSIX OBSERVATION

Open-source models matching closed-source cyberattack capability means strategies that rely on restricting model access to slow the spread of risk have largely failed. More alarming is the cost gap: attackers can reproduce closed-source capabilities with open-source models for a few dollars. Defenders should quickly put open-source models to work on vulnerability hunting rather than continuing to bet on access barriers.

Source: enbrief original report ↗