Physix Frontier · News Briefing Card (enbrief · Oct 26, 2026)

AI Products Drive China Trade Up Over 20% in First 9 Months

KEY FACTS

  • In the first nine months of 2026, China's exports grew 21.3% year over year and imports rose 27.5%.
  • Exports of automatic data processing equipment jumped 54.6%, and integrated circuit exports surged 108.1%.
  • Over the same period, imports of these two product categories grew even faster, for a combined net increase of $281.284 billion.
  • The WTO raised its forecast for global merchandise trade growth in 2026 from 1.9% to 3.9%.
  • China's export growth to RCEP partners was about 2.7 times faster than its export growth to the United States.

KEY DATA

21.3%China Exports YoY, First 9 Months
27.5%China Imports YoY, First 9 Months
$133.53 billionSeptember Trade Surplus
3.9%WTO 2026 Global Merchandise Trade Growth Forecast

PHYSIX OBSERVATION

The main engine of this trade expansion is the AI supply chain, not traditional export categories. Notably, China's AI-related imports are growing faster than its exports, which shows that domestic AI investment is expanding as well, and the so-called overcapacity narrative does not hold up. The global trade landscape is being re-stratified around AI, further strengthening Asia-Pacific's supply position.

Source: enbrief original report ↗